Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:48:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd91…090c
other · 34 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$16 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses13 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage67d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$12
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -84%
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -25%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$1 -54%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 +$2 +74%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 04 $30 $0 -1%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $5 −$1 -21%
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? May 12 $2 $0 -7%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 29 $5 +$5 +89%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26? Apr 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $15 +$5 +34%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $5 −$1 -11%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $1 +$2 +236%
Suns vs. Thunder Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $1 +$2 +189%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $5 +$5 +103%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 15 $2 −$1 -48%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? Apr 15 $3 −$2 -71%
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026? Apr 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $2 +$3 +165%
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? Apr 11 $1 +$7 +669%
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? Apr 10 $6 +$9 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Apr 08 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 08 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Apr 08 $2 −$1 -71%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Apr 08 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Apr 07 $2 +$1 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% +$5
world 34% +$2
sports 14% +$7
crypto 12% −$4
politics 2% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 1h
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 43h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 94¢ $4 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 53¢ $2 4d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $30 8d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $30 8d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 8d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 48¢ $4 13d
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 13d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? BUY No 45¢ $1 31d
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? SELL No 31¢ $2 32d
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? BUY No 31¢ $2 32d
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) SELL Manchester United FC 37¢ $1 40d
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) BUY Manchester United FC 39¢ $2 40d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 40d
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 40d
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $10 44d
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $5 44d
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 44d
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 47d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? SELL Yes 89¢ $12 48d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 36¢ $5 48d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? SELL Yes 63¢ $8 48d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 78¢ $10 48d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? SELL Yes 53¢ $4 48d
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 48d
Lakers vs. Rockets SELL Lakers 88¢ $2 49d
Lakers vs. Rockets SELL Lakers 57¢ $1 49d
Suns vs. Thunder BUY Suns 2¢ $1 51d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Lakers 22¢ $1 51d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -61.0% -64.7% 12% 12% -62.4%
≤30d 10 -51.0% -55.7% 10% 10% -31.2%
≤90d 33 +15.2% +4.3% 39% 39% +2.4%
all 33 +15.2% +4.3% 39% 39% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.3% 39% +2.4%
10% -5.7% 39% -7.4%
15% -14.8% 33% -16.3%
20% -23.2% 27% -24.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.09 · official $3.09 (match) · 94 history records