Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:37:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd90…7efc crypto 805 markets active 11h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (244 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$994 (-14%) realized −$994 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate56%618W / 492L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day244.4pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$486
other 3% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (244 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 561 -37.6% -43.6% 29% 13% -49.2%
≤30d 1110 -19.2% -26.9% 56% 38% -40.4%
≤90d 1110 -19.2% -26.9% 56% 38% -40.4%
all 1110 -19.2% -26.9% 56% 38% -40.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover244.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 38% -40.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 8% -46.1%
15% -40.2% 6% -51.3%
20% -46.1% 5% -56.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -34% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -34% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -38% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$9 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.18 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$994
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses618 / 492
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1110 / 805
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day244.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1110 Trades
no open positions (411 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$3 +534%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $67 −$67 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 15¢ $49 10h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 76¢ $49 10h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $50 10h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 85¢ $42 18h
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY 66¢ $29 23h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 64¢ $28 23h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 65¢ $29 23h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $20 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records