trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 56% | 56% | +45.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 56% | 56% | +45.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +59.5% | +44.3% | 56% | 56% | +45.2% |
| all | 194 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 47% | 47% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.2% | 47% | -19.3% |
| 10% | -25.2% | 47% | -27.1% |
| 15% | -32.4% | 47% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -39.0% | 45% | -40.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $42 | −$8 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics | Jun 21 | $121 | +$143 | +118% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $124 | −$12 | -10% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 18 | $109 | +$114 | +105% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners | Jun 18 | $29 | −$28 | -98% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners | Jun 18 | $139 | +$158 | +114% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees | Jun 17 | $44 | −$43 | -98% |
| New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 17 | $102 | +$81 | +79% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 17 | $19 | +$83 | +429% |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 08 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Dec 21 | $154 | −$154 | -100% |
| Spread: Vikings (-3.5) | Dec 21 | $90 | +$64 | +71% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Dec 21 | $52 | +$38 | +72% |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $60 | −$8 | -12% |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Dec 18 | $320 | −$320 | -100% |
| Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship? | Dec 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Dec 17 | $233 | −$233 | -100% |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Dec 16 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Dec 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | Dec 15 | $50 | +$31 | +61% |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) | Dec 15 | $50 | +$46 | +92% |
| Packers vs. Broncos | Dec 14 | $230 | −$230 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Giants | Dec 14 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Dec 14 | $20 | +$17 | +83% |
| Knicks vs. Magic | Dec 14 | $75 | +$42 | +56% |
| Spread: Bills (-1.5) | Dec 14 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5) | Dec 13 | $22 | +$23 | +104% |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) | Dec 12 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | Dec 11 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Dec 10 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) | Dec 09 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | Dec 09 | $60 | +$40 | +67% |
| Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | Dec 08 | $340 | −$340 | -100% |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | Dec 08 | $58 | +$42 | +72% |
| Dolphins vs. Jets | Dec 08 | $55 | +$40 | +72% |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) | Dec 08 | $150 | +$133 | +88% |
| Colts vs. Jaguars | Dec 07 | $246 | −$246 | -100% |
| Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) | Dec 07 | $20 | +$16 | +82% |
| Spread: Nets (-3.5) | Dec 06 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | Dec 06 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) | Dec 06 | $30 | +$30 | +100% |
| 76ers vs. Bucks | Dec 06 | $40 | +$38 | +96% |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) | Dec 05 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. 76ers | Dec 05 | $35 | +$21 | +61% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Dec 05 | $100 | +$59 | +59% |
| Spread: Jazz (-4.5) | Dec 04 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Dec 04 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |