Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:38:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd8d…d6c5 crypto 1671 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (151 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$60 (+1%) realized +$60 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate79%1313W / 357L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day151.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$55
14 days+$21
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (151 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 903 -0.1% -9.6% 76% 67% -8.6%
≤30d 1670 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 60% -10.0%
≤90d 1670 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 60% -10.0%
all 1670 -0.8% -10.2% 79% 60% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover151.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 60% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 41% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 13% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 4% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1313 / 357
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1670 / 1671
History coverage15d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day151.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1670 Trades
no open positions (308 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$4 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$6 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$4 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3338 history records