Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:15:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd88…dadb
sports · 204 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$286,061 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$642,842 · open +$16,356
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71,200
Realized−$642,842
Unrealized+$16,356
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses103 / 342
Whale WR (big bets)32%
Est. fees paid−$14,561
Open positions6
Markets (closed)445 / 204
History coverage12d
Avg bet$5,257
Trades / day290.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 445 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$649,087
7 days−$618,716
14 days−$642,842
30 days−$642,842
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 28¢ 34¢ $25,509 $30,872 +$5,363 (+21%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 68¢ 100¢ $12,998 $19,031 +$6,034 (+46%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 72¢ 100¢ $8,371 $11,697 +$3,326 (+40%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 48¢ 50¢ $7,150 $7,425 +$275 (+4%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 40¢ 100¢ $600 $1,499 +$899 (+150%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 32¢ 100¢ $216 $675 +$459 (+212%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 Gen.G Esports 39¢ 0¢ $1,733 $0 −$1,733 (-100%)
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner FURIA Esports 60¢ 0¢ $670 $0 −$670 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B M80 38¢ 0¢ $1,160 $0 −$1,160 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $938 $0 −$938 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 74¢ 0¢ $9,391 $0 −$9,391 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 34¢ 0¢ $1,060 $0 −$1,060 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 44¢ 0¢ $3,429 $0 −$3,429 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 53¢ 0¢ $4,393 $0 −$4,393 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage The Huns Esports 5¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 47¢ 0¢ $1,896 $0 −$1,896 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 26¢ 0¢ $758 $0 −$758 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 20¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $793 $0 −$793 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 65¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 FURIA Esports 42¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 12¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 32¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A B8 2¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Jun 14 $1,733 −$1,733 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $670 −$670 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 14 $1,160 −$3,451 -298%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 14 $9,391 −$9,391 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 14 $1,060 −$1,060 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,896 −$1,896 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 14 $758 −$758 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,400 −$2,390 -100%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Ameri Jun 14 $370 −$370 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $296 −$296 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 14 $76 +$341 +449%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs Jun 14 $3,689 −$3,689 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $1,034 −$1,034 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $1,281 −$1,296 -101%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playo Jun 14 $2,754 −$2,754 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $610 −$610 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $397 −$397 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Jun 14 $7,234 −$7,234 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $1,434 −$2,039 -142%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $228 −$228 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 14 $26,433 −$26,591 -101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $5,991 −$5,991 -100%
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoff Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challe Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 14 $196 −$168 -86%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 14 $2,509 −$2,383 -95%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,624 −$2,624 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $143 −$143 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $464 −$464 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $152 −$236 -156%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $336 −$336 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 14 $5,997 −$6,032 -101%
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs Jun 14 $2,856 −$2,856 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $228 −$228 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 14 $9,918 −$10,056 -101%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S Jun 14 $11,502 −$11,502 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 14 $1,675 −$1,700 -102%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 14 $1,199 −$1,193 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $1,416 −$1,416 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff Jun 14 $277 −$277 -100%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 14 $824 −$824 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$57,236
other 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $182 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $611 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $1,492 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $2,238 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $598 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $1,804 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $952 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $1,524 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $729 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $19 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $30 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $9 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $1,039 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $633 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $653 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $4 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $104 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $105 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $4 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $26 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $13 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $5 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $21 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $3 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $165 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $1 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-59.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 381 -65.1% -68.4% 19% 18% -53.1%
≤30d 445 -54.8% -59.1% 23% 22% -48.3%
≤90d 445 -54.8% -59.1% 23% 22% -48.3%
all 445 -54.8% -59.1% 23% 22% -48.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover290.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -59.1% 22% -48.3%
10% -63.0% 20% -53.2%
15% ← realistic here -66.6% 16% -57.7%
20% -69.8% 11% -61.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71,200.03 · official $71,208.98 (match) · 3500 history records