Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd77…8ccc
crypto · 7 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$200 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$353 · open +$153
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$253
Realized−$353
Unrealized+$153
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$353
7 days−$353
14 days−$353
30 days−$353
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 46¢ $100 $253 +$153 (+153%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $62 −$17 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $213 −$200 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$56 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$336
other 31% +$136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-89.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -87.9% -89.1% 0% 0% -89.9%
≤30d 6 -87.9% -89.1% 0% 0% -89.9%
≤90d 6 -87.9% -89.1% 0% 0% -89.9%
all 6 -87.9% -89.1% 0% 0% -89.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -89.1% 0% -89.9%
10% -90.1% 0% -90.8%
15% -91.1% 0% -91.7%
20% -92.0% 0% -92.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $252.78 · official $252.78 (match) · 17 history records