Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:44:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd63…a39a
crypto · 783 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,172 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,146 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$4,146
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses323 / 458
Est. fees paid−$402
Open positions2
Markets (closed)781 / 783
History coverage62d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 781 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$264
7 days−$562
14 days−$741
30 days−$1,556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 32¢ 23¢ $59 $43 −$16 (-28%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 59¢ 44¢ $38 $29 −$9 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner Tricked 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Katie Boulter 28¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 27¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens Canadiens 21¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 2 Winner 7REX 27¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Toronto Blue Jays 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pittsburgh Pirates 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 26¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 6¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs MVK Esports 41¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A Chinggis Warriors 16¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 13¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 18¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $27 +$19 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $40 +$16 +40%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $55 −$54 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $65 +$51 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$11 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27 −$20 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $130 +$17 +13%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $27 +$10 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$33 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +18%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $20 +$12 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$6 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$9 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -20%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$6 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$20 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$14 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$12 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $95 −$18 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $17 −$8 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$10 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$12 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$12 +103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$2,799
crypto 46% −$1,478
other 3% +$188
world 1% −$81
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 17¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 24¢ $10 17m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 33¢ $10 18m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $33 22m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 79¢ $47 23m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 55¢ $12 28m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 43¢ $1 32m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 43¢ $7 32m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 63¢ $1 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 63¢ $1 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 63¢ $3 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 63¢ $5 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $5 35m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $15 35m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 45¢ $67 45m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $15 59m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 14¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 6¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 10¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $26 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 39¢ $12 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 62¢ $35 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $37 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 46¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 89¢ $46 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -18.8% -26.5% 43% 35% -24.5%
≤30d 366 -25.2% -32.3% 40% 33% -28.2%
≤90d 781 -11.2% -19.7% 41% 36% -23.3%
all 781 -11.2% -19.7% 41% 36% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.7% 36% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 29% -30.6%
15% -34.4% 22% -37.3%
20% -40.8% 16% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.37 · official $71.37 (match) · 3500 history records