Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd5c…2ee3
sports · 977 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$66 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open −$72
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$976
Realized−$102
Unrealized−$72
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses366 / 537
Whale WR (big bets)77%
Est. fees paid−$220
Open positions74
Markets (closed)903 / 977
History coverage94d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day29.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 74 History 903 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$3
14 days+$12
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $36 $62 +$26 (+71%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $49 $61 +$12 (+24%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+21%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 66¢ 66¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-6%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $50 $45 −$6 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $50 $43 −$7 (-14%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $43 −$7 (-14%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $49 $43 −$6 (-12%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $35 −$15 (-29%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-11%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 46¢ 72¢ $15 $24 +$9 (+57%)
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? Yes 56¢ 59¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+5%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? No 48¢ 41¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-15%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $14 $17 +$2 (+17%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+34%)
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? Yes 28¢ 20¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-27%)
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 55¢ 68¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? Yes 21¢ 50¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+139%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 21¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 Jun 14 $45 +$47 +104%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -35%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -67%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? Jun 14 $50 −$10 -21%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$4 -72%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 Jun 13 $45 −$29 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 +$9 +91%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -91%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? Jun 12 $51 +$34 +67%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$20 +197%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$13 +241%
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 +$7 +143%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 11 $3 −$2 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +17%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +50%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +37%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $49 +$32 +66%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$20 +197%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$18 +178%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $21 −$19 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$13 +125%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11? Jun 11 $20 −$16 -78%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $11 +$21 +188%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 −$2 -44%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -83%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$13 +316%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10? Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$54
other 4% −$187
weather 1% +$63
politics 0% +$28
world 0% −$93
culture 0% +$12
tech 0% −$65
crypto 0% +$14
economics 0% +$7
finance 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $12 1h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 SELL Yes 79¢ $92 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 28¢ $4 6h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? SELL Yes 21¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? SELL Yes 7¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 6h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? SELL No 98¢ $27 7h
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 7h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 48¢ $20 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $20 8h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -8.8% -17.5% 36% 30% -9.3%
≤30d 441 -7.9% -16.7% 36% 27% -15.0%
≤90d 876 -14.1% -22.3% 40% 26% -9.6%
all 903 -12.2% -20.6% 41% 26% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 26% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 20% -18.3%
15% -35.1% 16% -26.2%
20% -41.5% 13% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $975.51 · official $976.03 (match) · 3143 history records