trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -87.1% | -88.3% | 0% | 0% | -80.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -90.9% | -91.8% | 0% | 0% | -81.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -91.8% | -92.6% | 0% | 0% | -81.5% |
| all | 33 | -54.0% | -58.4% | 21% | 21% | -80.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -58.4% | 21% | -80.5% |
| 10% | -62.3% | 18% | -82.3% |
| 15% | -66.0% | 12% | -84.0% |
| 20% | -69.3% | 9% | -85.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Brobbey: 1+ goals | Yes | 26¢ | 16¢ | $100 | $63 | −$37 (-37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deniz Undav: 1+ goals | Jun 29 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 29 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 29 | $153 | −$10 | -6% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $148 | −$147 | -100% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 29 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-17? | May 14 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Romania end in a draw? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? | Mar 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Jan 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09? | Dec 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05? | Dec 09 | $1 | +$2 | +122% |
| Will Solana reach $220 October 13-19? | Oct 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20? | Oct 14 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | Mar 12 | $0 | $0 | -30% |
| Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025? | Mar 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | Feb 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will PSV beat Stade Brestois? | Jan 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | Jan 07 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Juventus beat Manchester City? | Jan 07 | $0 | $0 | +300% |
| Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica? | Dec 10 | $0 | $0 | +28% |
| Commanders vs. Ravens | Nov 06 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $0 | $0 | +119% |
| Netherlands vs. Turkey - Who will advance? | Aug 11 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? | Aug 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| $GME halted again by Friday? | Jul 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Wormhole token FDV more than 7 billion a week after airdrop? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will US gain more than 353k jobs in February? | Mar 29 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will US gain 200k-250k jobs in February? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |