Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:44:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd3f…5d84
weather · 98 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$29
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses44 / 36
Open positions18
Markets (closed)80 / 98
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day41.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 18 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12? Yes 15¢ 100¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+566%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13? Yes 15¢ 10¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-30%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-28%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 13 $3 +$1 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 13 $2 +$2 +74%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +167%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +172%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$2 +237%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +80%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$4 +199%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$9 +733%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$8 +567%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$9 +669%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 −$5 -58%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $25 −$14 -54%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 12? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$7 +233%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$6 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$6 +132%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $8 +$3 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 74% −$36
crypto 26% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 13? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 13m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 22m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 31m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 33m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? SELL Yes 13¢ $2 37m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 41m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 42m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 42m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 44m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 44m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $0 47m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? SELL Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13? SELL Yes 17¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju SELL Yes 14¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? SELL Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June SELL Yes 23¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on Ju SELL Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? SELL Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? SELL Yes 28¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +17.9% +6.7% 55% 42% -13.4%
≤30d 80 +17.9% +6.7% 55% 42% -13.4%
≤90d 80 +17.9% +6.7% 55% 42% -13.4%
all 80 +17.9% +6.7% 55% 42% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.7% 42% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -3.5% 34% -21.7%
15% -12.9% 24% -29.2%
20% -21.4% 20% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.35 · official $22.36 (match) · 259 history records