trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 25% | 17% | -38.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 25% | 17% | -38.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 25% | 17% | -38.2% |
| all | 12 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 25% | 17% | -38.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 17% | -38.2% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 17% | -44.1% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 17% | -49.5% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 17% | -54.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | No | 55¢ | 64¢ | $5 | $5 | +$1 (+17%) |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? | No | 60¢ | 72¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+20%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+12%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 12¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-52%) |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26? | Yes | 57¢ | 15¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-74%) |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 16¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$1 | -59% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$1 | -19% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +78% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $35 | −$15 | -43% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $10 | +$10 | +104% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$3 | -23% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |