Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd2e…c438
other · 391 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$215 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$305 · open +$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$467
Realized−$305
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses264 / 113
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions14
Markets (closed)377 / 391
History coverage54d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 14 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$21
14 days−$37
30 days−$271
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 93¢ 100¢ $83 $89 +$6 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 92¢ 100¢ $70 $76 +$6 (+9%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $59 $64 +$4 (+7%)
Starmer out by June 15, 2026? No 93¢ 100¢ $49 $53 +$4 (+7%)
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 95¢ 100¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 92¢ 100¢ $39 $42 +$3 (+8%)
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 94¢ 91¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-2%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 94¢ 100¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+6%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 95¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 95¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? No 95¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+5%)
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 91¢ 92¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 95¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? No 95¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? No 95¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? No 95¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No 92¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? No 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 Jun 13 $28 −$4 -13%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 ( Jun 12 $70 +$4 +5%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $58 +$3 +6%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$2 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $43 +$4 +9%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $22 −$10 -46%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $105 −$3 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $32 +$3 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 +$1 +7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 11 $41 −$9 -21%
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Ange Jun 11 $30 +$2 +7%
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7? Jun 11 $38 +$3 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $95 +$8 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Jun 11 $37 −$5 -13%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $40 −$6 -16%
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? Jun 10 $10 −$2 -18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $11 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $25 +$2 +7%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $71 +$7 +10%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $70 −$2 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $71 −$2 -3%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 10 $54 −$5 -9%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $100 −$6 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $55 +$5 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 09 $53 +$3 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $14 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $70 −$10 -15%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 09 $12 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $41 +$4 +9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $29 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $37 +$3 +9%
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7? Jun 08 $10 −$1 -12%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $33 +$3 +9%
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $26 +$2 +9%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 08 $41 $0 +1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $24 +$2 +8%
Will Solana dip to $60 June 1-7? Jun 08 $73 +$7 +10%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 08 $51 +$4 +8%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $6 −$1 -12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $23 +$2 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $89 +$6 +7%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 07 $19 +$1 +5%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m? Jun 07 $5 −$2 -29%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $35 +$3 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $8 +$1 +10%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7? Jun 06 $15 −$2 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 06 $20 −$3 -13%
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 06 $60 +$6 +9%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $52 +$3 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 31% −$42
other 29% −$17
world 14% −$36
sports 11% +$41
politics 7% −$147
finance 3% +$2
tech 2% −$3
culture 2% −$79
economics 0% +$1
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 92¢ $5 45m
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 93¢ $83 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 95¢ $10 4h
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? BUY No 91¢ $8 7h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 SELL No 80¢ $24 8h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? BUY No 94¢ $17 9h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43 BUY No 92¢ $28 15h
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election BUY No 95¢ $10 30h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 52¢ $12 36h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 95¢ $22 36h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY No 94¢ $58 38h
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 ( BUY No 95¢ $70 40h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $33 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? BUY No 93¢ $59 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? BUY No 92¢ $7 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? BUY No 92¢ $39 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? SELL No 81¢ $32 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? BUY Yes 92¢ $32 3d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $41 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? SELL No 78¢ $33 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $43 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY No 91¢ $37 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? SELL No 78¢ $9 3d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? BUY No 92¢ $30 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 91¢ $40 3d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 91¢ $38 3d
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 91¢ $33 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY No 92¢ $70 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? SELL No 91¢ $69 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? BUY No 92¢ $70 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +0.2% -9.4% 66% 0% -8.5%
≤30d 194 -3.8% -13.0% 55% 1% -12.6%
≤90d 377 -3.3% -12.5% 70% 1% -11.6%
all 377 -3.3% -12.5% 70% 1% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 1% -11.6%
10% -20.9% 0% -20.0%
15% -28.5% 0% -27.8%
20% -35.5% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $466.73 · official $466.73 (match) · 782 history records