Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd28…905a
sports · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$167 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$166
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses22 / 16
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)38 / 39
History coverage13d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$50
14 days−$166
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 81¢ 72¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 66¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner L1ga Team 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner illwill 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FULL SENSE 54¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $11 +$9 +81%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $15 +$6 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $9 +$13 +156%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$3 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$9 -62%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$1 +11%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $16 −$16 -99%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$5 +103%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$7 +86%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $3 +$2 +64%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$1 +39%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$2 +29%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 +$2 +63%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $3 −$2 -63%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $46 −$45 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $115 −$115 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $103 +$12 +11%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $137 −$73 -54%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $154 +$25 +16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $59 +$40 +68%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $116 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 81¢ $6 27m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $6 32m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 75¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 81¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 13¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 39¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $18 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $16 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 60¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 56¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 64¢ $10 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $15 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $11 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 68¢ $10 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $21 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $15 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 52¢ $10 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ $6 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $19 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $10 7h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) SELL Spirit 99¢ $22 19h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Spirit 38¢ $9 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $9 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $6 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 25¢ $6 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -3.4% -12.6% 58% 55% -26.0%
≤30d 38 -6.9% -15.8% 58% 53% -25.1%
≤90d 38 -6.9% -15.8% 58% 53% -25.1%
all 38 -6.9% -15.8% 58% 53% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.8% 53% -25.1%
10% -23.8% 45% -32.3%
15% -31.2% 39% -38.8%
20% -37.9% 26% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.46 · official $5.46 (match) · 70 history records