Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:38:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd28…fbbe crypto 1195 markets active 1h ago coverage 46d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d only
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$7,055 (-4%) realized −$7,055 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate83%986W / 209L
Whale WR71%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$148per market
Trades / day56.1pace
Fees−$27est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,699
7 days−$2,755
14 days−$4,288
30 days−$4,533
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$4,120
sports 2% −$401
other 0% −$362
politics 0% +$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 +0.6% -9.0% 82% 49% -17.6%
≤30d 829 +1.3% -8.3% 84% 41% -12.7%
≤90d 1195 -0.2% -9.7% 83% 40% -12.0%
all 1195 -0.2% -9.7% 83% 40% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 40% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 21% -20.4%
15% -26.2% 10% -28.1%
20% -33.5% 5% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 71% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$124 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,055
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses986 / 209
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1195 / 1195
History coverage46d ⚠
Avg bet$148
Trades / day56.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1195 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$19 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$12 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$98 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $120 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $203 −$203 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $103 +$56 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $102 +$32 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$12 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $62 +$37 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $51 +$16 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$22 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $81 −$80 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$9 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $60 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $122 +$26 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$7 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$9 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $123 +$48 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $102 −$93 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$19 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $118 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $123 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $101 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $101 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $103 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $134 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $101 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $62 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $51 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records