Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:51:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DD 0xdd27…ac1d crypto 1107 markets active 14h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (229 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$44 (-1%) realized −$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate53%586W / 525L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day228.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$49
14 days−$61
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (229 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 635 -2.7% -12.0% 54% 2% -10.8%
≤30d 1111 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 2% -10.4%
≤90d 1111 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 2% -10.4%
all 1111 -1.9% -11.2% 53% 2% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover228.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 2% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 1% -19.0%
15% -27.5% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses586 / 525
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1111 / 1107
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day228.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1111 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records