Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:32:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd25…bdd8
sports · 5 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$53 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$51
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$139
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$51
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $140 $139 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $30 +$36 +118%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $51 +$55 +108%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $94 −$93 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$51
sports 48% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $142 12m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $67 16m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $30 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $105 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $13 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 15h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $51 15h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $81 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +42.0% +28.4% 67% 67% -10.7%
≤30d 3 +42.0% +28.4% 67% 67% -10.7%
≤90d 3 +42.0% +28.4% 67% 67% -10.7%
all 3 +42.0% +28.4% 67% 67% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +28.4% 67% -10.7%
10% +16.1% 67% -19.3%
15% +4.9% 67% -27.1%
20% -5.4% 67% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $139.08 · official $139.08 (match) · 8 history records