Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd17…ed04
crypto · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$164 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$348 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses21 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage1d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day191.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$348
7 days−$348
14 days−$348
30 days−$348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 14 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $229 +$38 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $352 −$228 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $184 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $215 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $182 +$37 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$17 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $205 +$53 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $111 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$5 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$63 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $81 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $111 +$19 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$35 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $108 −$105 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $92 +$12 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$33 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$23 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$11 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$22 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$21 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$45 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$24 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$347
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C SELL No 3¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $110 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $44 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $51 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $246 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $22 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $172 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-33.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -26.3% -33.4% 40% 36% -17.8%
≤30d 53 -26.3% -33.4% 40% 36% -17.8%
≤90d 53 -26.3% -33.4% 40% 36% -17.8%
all 53 -26.3% -33.4% 40% 36% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover191.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.4% 36% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -39.7% 25% -25.7%
15% -45.6% 17% -32.9%
20% -50.9% 13% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 210 history records