Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd0d…3da3
crypto · 364 markets active 17h ago
0.5score
−$32 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses295 / 69
Open positions0
Markets (closed)364 / 364
History coverage18d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 364 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$24
14 days−$39
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 87¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 85¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 90¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 85¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 78¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 81¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 91¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 70¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 75¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 66¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 81¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 89¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 91¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 86¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 83¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 81¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 79¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 84¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 70% -11.4%
≤30d 364 +1.4% -8.2% 81% 66% -11.0%
≤90d 364 +1.4% -8.2% 81% 66% -11.0%
all 364 +1.4% -8.2% 81% 66% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 66% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 23% -19.5%
15% -25.0% 3% -27.3%
20% -32.4% 1% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 727 history records