Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdcf8…dca4
sports · 476 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$99 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses280 / 196
Est. fees paid−$40
Open positions0
Markets (closed)476 / 476
History coverage51d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 476 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$19
14 days−$36
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 82¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +61%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -96%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$127
crypto 17% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -10.8% -19.3% 58% 51% -15.0%
≤30d 302 -6.4% -15.3% 58% 45% -14.0%
≤90d 476 -5.7% -14.7% 59% 46% -14.4%
all 476 -5.7% -14.7% 59% 46% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 46% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 30% -22.6%
15% -30.3% 18% -30.0%
20% -37.2% 10% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2035 history records