Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:46:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdcef…d05c
crypto · 138 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$112 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses66 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)138 / 138
History coverage3d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day1212.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$115
7 days+$112
14 days+$112
30 days+$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $173 +$27 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $141 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $331 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $243 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $220 +$23 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$23 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $257 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $336 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $179 +$46 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $192 +$42 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $206 −$28 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$28 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$29 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $246 +$39 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $192 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $194 −$32 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$15 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $284 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$16 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$38 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $38 +$42 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$35 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $54 +$26 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $48 +$32 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $47 +$33 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$39 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$38 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $49 +$31 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $45 +$35 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $57 +$23 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $46 +$34 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $90 +$30 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $96 −$36 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $113 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -3.9% -13.0% 48% 30% -9.1%
≤30d 138 -3.9% -13.0% 48% 30% -9.1%
≤90d 138 -3.9% -13.0% 48% 30% -9.1%
all 138 -3.9% -13.0% 48% 30% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1212.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 30% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 18% -17.8%
15% -28.9% 14% -25.7%
20% -35.9% 9% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records