trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +13.2% | +2.4% | 100% | 100% | +2.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 75% | 25% | -21.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -53.6% | -58.0% | 36% | 18% | -43.9% |
| all | 11 | -53.6% | -58.0% | 36% | 18% | -43.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -58.0% | 18% | -43.9% |
| 10% | -62.0% | 9% | -49.3% |
| 15% | -65.7% | 9% | -54.2% |
| 20% | -69.1% | 9% | -58.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $55 | $56 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 56¢ | 58¢ | $38 | $40 | +$2 (+4%) |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 42¢ | 33¢ | $34 | $27 | −$7 (-20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez | Jun 10 | $9 | +$1 | +13% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? | Jun 05 | $17 | $0 | +3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | May 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Senators | Apr 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by Ap | Apr 15 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | Apr 09 | $8 | +$7 | +92% |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March | Apr 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Apr 01 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Kings | Apr 01 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27? | Apr 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez | BUY Nick Hardt | 88¢ | $9 | 6d |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY No | 98¢ | $20 | 11d |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? | BUY No | 98¢ | $17 | 19d |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY Yes | 26¢ | $10 | 27d |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by Ap | BUY No | 87¢ | $8 | 62d |
| Panthers vs. Senators | BUY Panthers | 28¢ | $6 | 68d |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | BUY Avalanche | 52¢ | $8 | 73d |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March | BUY Yes | 43¢ | $5 | 79d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27? | BUY Up | 51¢ | $6 | 82d |
| Nets vs. Kings | BUY Nets | 35¢ | $9 | 86d |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY Yes | 56¢ | $38 | 96d |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY No | 90¢ | $55 | 99d |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY Yes | 42¢ | $34 | 101d |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY Warriors | 39¢ | $3 | 108d |