Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:42:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdccb…93ab crypto 169 markets active 1d ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (603 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,067 (+9%) realized +$1,067 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate55%93W / 76L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day603.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (603 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -1.4% -10.7% 55% 49% -12.8%
≤30d 169 -1.4% -10.7% 55% 49% -12.8%
≤90d 169 -1.4% -10.7% 55% 49% -12.8%
all 169 -1.4% -10.7% 55% 49% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover603.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 49% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 44% -21.1%
15% -27.1% 30% -28.7%
20% -34.2% 12% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
18.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$32 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,067
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses93 / 76
Open positions0
Markets (closed)169 / 169
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$69
Trades / day603.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 169 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $91 −$47 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $65 −$56 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$18 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $62 +$28 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$16 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 16 $66 +$20 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $53 −$49 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $56 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $61 +$26 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $99 −$54 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $86 +$30 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$25 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $83 +$14 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $99 −$60 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $64 +$27 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$38 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$56 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$37 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$20 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $72 +$20 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$38 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$31 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $54 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$21 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$30 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$9 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$25 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$33 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$8 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$25 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records