Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:37:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
DC 0xdcc4…544f crypto 1750 markets active 0h ago coverage 84d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$73 (+0%) realized −$607 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate91%1694W / 173L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day21.1pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$612
7 days−$609
14 days−$611
30 days−$633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% +$3
sports 10% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 385 -30.9% -37.5% 67% 3% -30.1%
≤30d 1076 -11.2% -19.6% 86% 5% -15.8%
≤90d 1867 -6.4% -15.3% 91% 4% -13.0%
all 1867 -6.4% -15.3% 91% 4% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 4% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 1% -21.3%
15% -30.8% 0% -28.9%
20% -37.6% 0% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

84d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$607
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1694 / 173
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1867 / 1750
History coverage84d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1867 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records