Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:56:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdcc4…143c
crypto · 484 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,267 -135%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,267 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses389 / 530
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 484
History coverage10d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day304.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,167
7 days−$4,164
14 days−$4,267
30 days−$4,267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yang Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-52.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 821 -53.4% -57.8% 39% 37% -92.0%
≤30d 919 -47.9% -52.8% 42% 39% -62.3%
≤90d 919 -47.9% -52.8% 42% 39% -62.3%
all 919 -47.9% -52.8% 42% 39% -62.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover304.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.8% 39% -62.3%
10% ← realistic here -57.3% 7% -66.0%
15% -61.5% 1% -69.2%
20% -65.2% 0% -72.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records