trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 47% | 47% | -13.1% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 43% | 43% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 43% | 43% | -10.8% |
| all | 28 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 43% | 43% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 43% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -20.2% | 39% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 39% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 29% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 60¢ | 52¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $5 | +$3 | +57% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $4 | +$3 | +81% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 16 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -92% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$3 | +160% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -93% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 05 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | May 30 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 28 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | May 28 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5 | May 28 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Daria Khomutsianskaya | May 28 | $10 | +$10 | +95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | May 28 | $5 | +$4 | +72% |