Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdca7…918d
crypto · 983 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$52 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$53 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$53
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses553 / 429
Open positions1
Markets (closed)982 / 983
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day115.5
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 982 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$977
7 days−$938
14 days+$53
30 days+$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 56¢ 8¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 -11.9% -20.3% 56% 52% -25.2%
≤30d 982 -2.2% -11.5% 56% 52% -13.8%
≤90d 982 -2.2% -11.5% 56% 52% -13.8%
all 982 -2.2% -11.5% 56% 52% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 52% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 41% -22.0%
15% -27.7% 32% -29.5%
20% -34.8% 22% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.27 · official $0.27 (match) · 2468 history records