Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdca4…e93d
weather · 607 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$611 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$534 · open −$199
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$534
Unrealized−$199
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses252 / 340
Open positions15
Markets (closed)592 / 607
History coverage401d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 15 History 592 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$423
7 days−$427
14 days−$379
30 days−$379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 53¢ 4¢ $27 $2 −$25 (-92%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 14¢ 96¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+568%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? Yes 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+154%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 13? Yes 32¢ 1¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-96%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$32 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Yes 52¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 13? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 5? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 10? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 2? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 +$5 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $27 +$16 +60%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $30 +$13 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $23 +$21 +93%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$13 +98%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $16 +$74 +457%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $25 +$19 +74%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $11 +$19 +172%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$20 +215%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 +$5 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $21 +$18 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $49 +$25 +50%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 +$26 +84%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $14 +$9 +62%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$16 +150%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 +$17 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 +$8 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 −$18 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $22 +$15 +67%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $12 +$27 +224%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $13 +$43 +318%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 +$8 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $33 −$32 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 13 $12 +$27 +226%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 13 $19 +$25 +129%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $7 +$11 +166%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 13 $30 +$14 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $30 +$32 +106%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Jun 13 $16 +$27 +174%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 13 $25 +$32 +127%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $24 +$48 +199%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 +$16 +51%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $27 +$29 +107%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 95% −$578
other 3% −$302
sports 1% +$205
crypto 0% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $8 41m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $11 41m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $9 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $8 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $3 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $8 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $7 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $2 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $4 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $11 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $2 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $4 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $3 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $2 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 50¢ $18 48m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 49m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $31 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $11 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 87¢ $37 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju BUY Yes 33¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju BUY Yes 32¢ $8 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 52¢ $9 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY Yes 60¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju BUY Yes 32¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 329 +6.9% -3.3% 43% 43% -14.0%
≤30d 571 +5.9% -4.2% 43% 42% -11.7%
≤90d 571 +5.9% -4.2% 43% 42% -11.7%
all 592 +5.5% -4.6% 43% 42% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 42% -12.7%
10% -13.7% 41% -21.1%
15% -22.0% 40% -28.7%
20% -29.7% 36% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.20 · official $3.86 · 2572 history records