Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdca1…544a
crypto · 891 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,908 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,922 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$2,922
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses508 / 389
Open positions2
Markets (closed)897 / 891
History coverage5d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day609.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 897 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,867
7 days+$2,922
14 days+$2,922
30 days+$2,922
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$52 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$26 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$35 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $75 +$51 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$42 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$36 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$46 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$72 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $90 +$31 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$85 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$60 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$58 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $95 −$94 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$53 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$71 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$55 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$64 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$71 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$49 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $68 +$66 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$47 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$25 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$55 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $79 −$77 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$31 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$32 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $69 −$67 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $76 +$47 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $59 +$20 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $53 +$77 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,311
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $15 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $28 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $74 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $19 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $95 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $24 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $43 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $75 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $45 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $28 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $81 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $36 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $56 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $90 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $60 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $95 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $73 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $73 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $53 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $35 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $47 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 897 +5.1% -4.9% 57% 55% -3.9%
≤30d 897 +5.1% -4.9% 57% 55% -3.9%
≤90d 897 +5.1% -4.9% 57% 55% -3.9%
all 897 +5.1% -4.9% 57% 55% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover609.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 55% -3.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 54% -13.1%
15% -22.3% 46% -21.5%
20% -29.9% 40% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.20 · official $20.20 (match) · 3500 history records