Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc9d…930f
crypto · 178 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$7,515 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,565 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,571
Realized+$7,565
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses50 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$132
Open positions5
Markets (closed)173 / 178
History coverage151d
Avg bet$260
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 5 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$776
7 days+$250
14 days+$250
30 days+$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $500 $498 −$2 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $500 $498 −$2 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $297 $288 −$9 (-3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $285 $280 −$5 (-2%)
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? No 4¢ 1¢ $39 $6 −$33 (-84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $347 $0 −$347 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the US strike Iran next? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
US forces enter Iran by January 31? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2,570 $0 −$2,570 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score No 34¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $321 +$76 +24%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $317 +$614 +194%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $388 −$219 -56%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $206 −$19 -9%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $174 +$276 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $101 +$95 +93%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $103 −$14 -13%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $414 +$175 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $500 −$500 -100%
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score May 17 $123 −$121 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 17 $62 +$25 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 17 $100 −$78 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 17 $84 −$39 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 17 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 17 $32 +$72 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 17 $64 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 17 $42 +$4 +10%
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $1,244 +$338 +27%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $124 −$34 -27%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 28 $963 −$944 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $3,018 +$751 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Apr 24 $408 −$384 -94%
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $300 +$108 +36%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $350 −$347 -99%
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 24 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Apr 24 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 24 $10 −$10 -100%
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? Apr 24 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $384 +$269 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Apr 22 $64 −$60 -94%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $5,491 +$1,474 +27%
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? Apr 22 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 22 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Apr 22 $100 −$95 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 22 $83 −$77 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 22 $198 +$294 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 22 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 22 $100 −$95 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Apr 22 $90 −$85 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Apr 22 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Apr 22 $100 −$94 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Apr 22 $10 −$9 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Apr 22 $55 −$55 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 43% +$7,821
other 30% +$1,704
crypto 20% −$2,955
sports 7% +$946
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $373 36m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $932 37m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $113 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $203 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 72¢ $271 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $204 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL No 27¢ $25 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $169 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $236 2h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 5¢ $187 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $99 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $72 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $51 22h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $152 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $102 24h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY Yes 52¢ $101 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $101 24h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $89 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $589 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $162 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $26 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $26 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $27 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $26 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $27 2d
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? BUY Yes 28¢ $100 2d
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? BUY Yes 28¢ $100 2d
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? BUY No 4¢ $40 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $252 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -5.2% -14.2% 38% 38% -1.3%
≤30d 24 -18.6% -26.4% 38% 33% -1.5%
≤90d 82 -26.4% -33.4% 30% 28% -4.1%
all 173 -23.8% -31.0% 29% 27% +7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.0% 27% +7.0%
10% -37.6% 26% -3.3%
15% -43.6% 24% -12.6%
20% -49.2% 22% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,571.23 · official $1,571.23 (match) · 471 history records