Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc9a…fbc9
crypto · 1044 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$432 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$285 · open −$147
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,764
Realized−$285
Unrealized−$147
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses427 / 532
Open positions85
Markets (closed)959 / 1044
History coverage92d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 85 History 959 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$222
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $600 $594 −$6 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $605 $591 −$14 (-2%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $600 $586 −$14 (-2%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $600 $582 −$18 (-3%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $600 $580 −$20 (-3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $600 $580 −$20 (-3%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $600 $579 −$21 (-4%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $600 $570 −$30 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 62¢ 46¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-25%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 94¢ 84¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Yes 51¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 56¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Yes 44¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Yes 61¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? Yes 42¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 56¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Yes 67¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +44%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026? Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026? Jun 06 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down on May 11? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1AM ET Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump visit China by June 30? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $109 −$109 -100%
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? May 29 $1 +$5 +478%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET May 11 $4 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6AM ET May 10 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET May 10 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET May 10 $15 +$2 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$143
crypto 46% −$280
world 0% −$6
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $618 2h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $618 2h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $618 2h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $618 2h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $617 2h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $618 2h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $618 2h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $618 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $3 6d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY No 62¢ $8 7d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 7d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 7d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 7d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 7d
Will England win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 7d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 7d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 7d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 7d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 7d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 7d
Will France win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 7d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 7d
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 7d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 7d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 7d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 7d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 79¢ $1 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 7d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +77.3% +60.4% 100% 75% +47.5%
≤30d 46 -69.8% -72.6% 13% 9% -94.0%
≤90d 874 -8.6% -17.3% 45% 44% -15.6%
all 959 -9.0% -17.7% 45% 43% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 43% -15.4%
10% -25.6% 41% -23.5%
15% -32.8% 39% -30.9%
20% -39.4% 37% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,764.47 · official $4,764.47 (match) · 3500 history records