Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T13:42:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc89…7ac3 crypto 79 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3364 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$62 (-0%) realized −$69 · open +$7
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +54% what you keep after slip
Net edge+54%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate41%26W / 37L
Whale WR12%big bets
Drawdown30%max
Avg bet$352per market
Trades / day3364.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4,827now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,409
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3364 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)+80.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +99.6% +80.6% 41% 11% -4.2%
≤30d 63 +99.6% +80.6% 41% 11% -4.2%
≤90d 63 +99.6% +80.6% 41% 11% -4.2%
all 63 +99.6% +80.6% 41% 11% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3364.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +80.6% 11% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here +63.3% 11% -13.3%
15% +47.5% 11% -21.7%
20% +33.1% 11% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +100% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 12% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +206% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
19.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$88 vs −$24 · ×3.59 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.59 per $1 lost it wins $2.59
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$4,827
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses26 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)12%
Open positions16
Markets (closed)63 / 79
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$352
Trades / day3364.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 16 History 63 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 43¢ 50¢ $155 $176 +$21 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 44¢ 50¢ $140 $158 +$18 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 50¢ $165 $156 −$9 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $153 $156 +$3 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $151 $155 +$5 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 62¢ 50¢ $189 $153 −$35 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 58¢ 50¢ $177 $152 −$24 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $150 $152 +$2 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 44¢ 50¢ $133 $151 +$18 (+14%)
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 50¢ $157 $150 −$7 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 50¢ $160 $150 −$10 (-6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $146 $150 +$4 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $150 $148 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $334 −$5 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $334 −$3 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $326 −$1 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $333 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $502 −$63 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $448 +$27 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $300 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $360 −$4 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $331 −$22 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $359 +$10 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $329 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $453 −$70 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $365 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $366 +$24 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $360 −$25 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $437 −$11 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $400 −$24 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $452 −$6 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $365 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $586 +$32 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $390 −$14 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $609 −$62 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $546 −$87 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $376 −$11 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $324 −$7 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $367 −$33 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $365 +$17 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $551 −$68 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $345 −$3 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $424 −$49 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $326 −$24 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $406 −$7 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $351 +$16 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $321 +$14 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $348 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $331 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $531 −$99 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $390 −$21 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $407 −$15 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $353 −$15 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $340 −$6 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $413 +$21 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $316 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $357 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $443 +$44 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $323 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $339 +$13 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 22 $349 −$11 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 22 $640 −$29 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 22 $331 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $8 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $14 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $7 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $0 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $3 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,826.65 · official $4,826.65 (match) · 3500 history records