Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:55:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc84…536c
crypto · 1090 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$165 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses595 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1090 / 1090
History coverage37d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day48.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1090 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$87
14 days−$92
30 days−$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$25 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$30 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$18 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $29 +$22 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$165
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -6.4% -15.3% 51% 50% -14.7%
≤30d 921 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 51% -13.6%
≤90d 1090 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 51% -12.5%
all 1090 -3.1% -12.4% 55% 51% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 51% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 47% -20.8%
15% -28.4% 43% -28.5%
20% -35.4% 41% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2521 history records