trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Over | 71¢ | 70¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Heat | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Over | 54¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 214.5 | Over | 67¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Ducks vs. Canucks | Ducks | 21¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5 | Over | 55¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Lakers | 67¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 60¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Thunder | 57¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Warriors | Nuggets | 67¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans | 76ers | 60¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Spurs | 57¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Grizzlies | 45¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Lakers | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Bucks | Cavaliers | 76¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Suns | 37¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | 76ers | 44¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 19¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Celtics | 27¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 216.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$4 | +172% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 | Jun 09 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $15 | +$5 | +32% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $11 | +$2 | +20% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 | May 19 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 | May 13 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $30 | +$2 | +8% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $60 | +$4 | +7% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 | May 09 | $3 | +$2 | +76% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $5 | +$3 | +62% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $60 | +$3 | +4% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $3 | +$1 | +38% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 06 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $5 | +$2 | +34% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 30 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $5 | −$3 | -67% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $11 | −$8 | -74% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 | Apr 27 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $65 | −$15 | -23% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $40 | +$2 | +5% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5 | Apr 24 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $10 | −$3 | -34% |
| Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | Apr 23 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $50 | −$3 | -7% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $10 | +$2 | +15% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Apr 21 | $200 | −$70 | -35% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +68.4% | +52.4% | 100% | 100% | +10.5% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 75% | 75% | +7.9% |
| ≤90d | 140 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 63% | 45% | -7.6% |
| all | 342 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 59% | 48% | -10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 48% | -10.2% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 39% | -18.8% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 32% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 23% | -33.8% |