Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:27:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc76…c867
crypto · 720 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses640 / 78
Open positions1
Markets (closed)718 / 720
History coverage66d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 718 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$59
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 504 +1.9% -7.8% 89% 36% -7.7%
≤30d 697 +0.2% -9.3% 90% 28% -9.4%
≤90d 718 -0.6% -10.1% 89% 28% -9.9%
all 718 -0.6% -10.1% 89% 28% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 28% -9.9%
10% -18.7% 13% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 5% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 3% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.05 (match) · 1375 history records