Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc72…7d21
crypto · 154 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,991 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,991 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,991
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses42 / 112
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)154 / 154
History coverage59d
Avg bet$174
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 154 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$1,556
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1,025 $0 −$1,025 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $146 +$104 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $413 +$91 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$17 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$80 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $166 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$8 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $130 −$72 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$22 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $83 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$72 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$64 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $84 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$87 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $83 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$13 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 29 $1,065 −$1,025 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 29 $1,073 +$104 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 29 $178 −$170 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 29 $233 −$76 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 29 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 29 $212 −$205 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 29 $130 +$67 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 29 $59 −$55 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 29 $133 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 29 $131 −$125 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 29 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 29 $27 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 09 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 09 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 09 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 09 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 08 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 08 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 08 $15 −$8 -56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7,991
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $42 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -16.8% -24.7% 47% 27% -10.4%
≤30d 42 -27.0% -34.0% 40% 24% -35.2%
≤90d 154 -30.0% -36.6% 27% 23% -38.1%
all 154 -30.0% -36.6% 27% 23% -38.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.6% 23% -38.1%
10% -42.7% 21% -44.0%
15% -48.2% 19% -49.4%
20% -53.3% 17% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 447 history records