trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +258.1% | +224.0% | 83% | 83% | +135.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +207.0% | +177.7% | 71% | 71% | +125.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +168.6% | +143.0% | 62% | 62% | +57.8% |
| all | 12 | +79.1% | +62.0% | 42% | 42% | +8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +62.0% | 42% | +8.8% |
| 10% | +46.5% | 42% | -1.6% |
| 15% | +32.4% | 42% | -11.1% |
| 20% | +19.4% | 42% | -19.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $98 | $108 | +$11 (+11%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $15 | $14 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $31 | +$41 | +134% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 23 | $81 | +$96 | +118% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | Jun 23 | $5 | +$50 | +982% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $25 | +$30 | +119% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$45 | +297% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-17? | May 17 | $73 | −$72 | -98% |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 17 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 12 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |