Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:37:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc67…6f13
crypto · 954 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,995 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,969 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$963
Realized+$1,969
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses673 / 543
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1216 / 954
History coverage7d
Avg bet$130
Trades / day376.9
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 1216 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,168
7 days+$1,759
14 days+$1,969
30 days+$1,969
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $949 $963 +$13 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% +$2,864
other 23% +$825
sports 22% +$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 100¢ $752 1m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 99¢ $1 1m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 99¢ $1 1m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 99¢ $743 1m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $999 38m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 98¢ $46 55m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $1,874 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $14 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $6 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $52 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $15 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $29 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $18 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $115 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1168 -29.3% -36.0% 54% 9% -8.1%
≤30d 1216 -26.7% -33.7% 55% 10% -8.0%
≤90d 1216 -26.7% -33.7% 55% 10% -8.0%
all 1216 -26.7% -33.7% 55% 10% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover376.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.7% 10% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -40.0% 8% -16.8%
15% -45.8% 7% -24.9%
20% -51.1% 6% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $962.51 · official $962.51 (match) · 3500 history records