Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:55:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc61…e053
crypto · 2015 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$488 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$487 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$487
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1185 / 604
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1789 / 2015
History coverage55d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day42.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1789 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$739
7 days−$600
14 days−$453
30 days−$421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$165
sports 6% +$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 864 +11.6% +1.0% 70% 69% -38.5%
≤30d 1662 +9.8% -0.7% 66% 65% -20.9%
≤90d 1789 +8.4% -1.9% 66% 64% -19.6%
all 1789 +8.4% -1.9% 66% 64% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 64% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 57% -27.3%
15% -19.9% 46% -34.3%
20% -27.7% 32% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.23 · official $5.74 (match) · 3500 history records