Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:46:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc60…e206 crypto 955 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (171 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,443 (-15%) realized −$3,443 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate50%535W / 532L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day171.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,965
7 days−$5,731
14 days−$4,525
30 days−$3,490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,493
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (171 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 628 -26.6% -33.6% 38% 37% -37.8%
≤30d 1067 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 49% -21.4%
≤90d 1067 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 49% -21.4%
all 1067 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 49% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover171.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 49% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 47% -28.9%
15% -28.5% 45% -35.8%
20% -35.5% 31% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +29% → late -35% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$22 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,443
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses535 / 532
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1067 / 955
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day171.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1067 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $63 −$63 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $28 −$20 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$6 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $13 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $33 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records