trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 100% | 100% | +1.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -42.0% | -47.6% | 50% | 50% | -34.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 55% | 55% | -27.1% |
| all | 14 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 57% | 43% | -20.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.1% | 43% | -20.0% |
| 10% | -31.3% | 7% | -27.6% |
| 15% | -38.0% | 7% | -34.6% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 7% | -41.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 15 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 23 | $43 | −$42 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $65 | +$13 | +20% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $22 | +$4 | +17% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 03 | $18 | −$17 | -99% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $12 | +$11 | +93% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 26 | $22 | +$4 | +18% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Apr 25 | $33 | −$32 | -99% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 21 | $22 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | Mar 19 | $75 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 10 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Mar 07 | $74 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $75 | $0 | -0% |