Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:06:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DC 0xdc5c…808a crypto 1464 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d only
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$168 (-1%) realized −$168 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate96%1408W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day120.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$153
14 days−$40
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 247 -10.2% -18.7% 86% 2% -29.0%
≤30d 1464 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 2% -9.7%
≤90d 1464 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 2% -9.7%
all 1464 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 2% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover120.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 2% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$168
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1408 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1464 / 1464
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day120.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1464 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records