Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:05:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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DC 0xdc53…cb5e crypto 691 markets active 4h ago coverage 65d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 65d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$538 (-4%) realized −$538 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%675W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day10.8pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days−$10
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$86
finance 8% +$16
other 7% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 1% -9.1%
≤30d 367 -1.0% -10.5% 97% 1% -10.4%
≤90d 691 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 691 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -10.0%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$23 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$538
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses675 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)691 / 691
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$21
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 691 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $12 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET Jun 19 $33 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $49 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $49 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $30 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $18 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $33 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 18h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 18h
Solana Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 99¢ $50 19h
XRP Up or Down on June 19? BUY Down 91¢ $49 19h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19? BUY Up 98¢ $49 19h
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $30 19h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 19? BUY No 99¢ $30 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records