Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:11:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc52…5496
crypto · 46 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$22 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses30 / 15
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$24
14 days+$24
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 59¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$18 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +24.7% +12.9% 67% 60% +9.5%
≤30d 45 +24.7% +12.9% 67% 60% +9.5%
≤90d 45 +24.7% +12.9% 67% 60% +9.5%
all 45 +24.7% +12.9% 67% 60% +9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +12.9% 60% +9.5%
10% ← realistic here +2.1% 42% -1.0%
15% -7.8% 29% -10.5%
20% -16.8% 24% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.32 (match) · 94 history records