Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc45…92aa
crypto · 1231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,251 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,249 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$2,249
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses605 / 622
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1227 / 1231
History coverage87d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day29.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days−$252
14 days−$186
30 days−$2,282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No 83¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 85¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No 86¢ 86¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +107%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$13 +161%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $100 −$32 -32%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $105 −$12 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +122%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +150%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$6 +78%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$21 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$2,209
world 1% −$40
politics 0% −$2
other 0% +$2
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 -4.2% -13.3% 51% 50% -21.1%
≤30d 795 -12.5% -20.8% 49% 46% -23.6%
≤90d 1227 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 38% -22.2%
all 1227 -10.1% -18.6% 49% 38% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 38% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 36% -29.6%
15% -33.5% 34% -36.4%
20% -40.1% 31% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.67 · official $16.67 (match) · 3500 history records