trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 32% | 5% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 32% | 5% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 5% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 5% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $490 | $491 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? | Jun 10 | $490 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? | Jun 09 | $490 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $488 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? | May 30 | $487 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? | May 29 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? | May 28 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26? | May 26 | $487 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25? | May 25 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? | May 24 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 13 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 15? | Apr 15 | $488 | $0 | -0% |
| Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of Apr | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 12? | Apr 13 | $484 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season? | Apr 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 11? | Apr 12 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 06 | $196 | −$5 | -3% |