Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc40…89cf
sports · 356 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$108,791 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126,400 · open +$17,608
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29,210
Realized−$126,400
Unrealized+$17,608
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses159 / 192
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Est. fees paid−$13,412
Open positions5
Markets (closed)351 / 356
History coverage98d
Avg bet$4,041
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 351 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28,870
7 days−$56,623
14 days−$90,863
30 days−$136,747
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 35¢ 100¢ $7,000 $19,990 +$12,990 (+186%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 11¢ 30¢ $2,750 $7,375 +$4,625 (+168%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1,070 $1,055 −$15 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $780 $785 +$5 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+222%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $4,500 $0 −$4,500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 28¢ 0¢ $2,800 $0 −$2,800 (-100%)
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Team Liquid 71¢ 0¢ $3,550 $0 −$3,550 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 47¢ 0¢ $4,230 $0 −$4,230 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) G2 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 50¢ 0¢ $3,506 $0 −$3,506 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 36¢ 0¢ $5,400 $0 −$5,400 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 52¢ 0¢ $5,200 $0 −$5,200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 43¢ 0¢ $8,188 $0 −$8,188 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 65¢ 0¢ $3,899 $0 −$3,899 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $9,050 $0 −$9,050 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Astralis 52¢ 0¢ $5,275 $0 −$5,275 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 37¢ 0¢ $3,032 $0 −$3,032 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $6,180 $0 −$6,180 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 49¢ 0¢ $5,390 $0 −$5,390 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winner OG 26¢ 0¢ $1,820 $0 −$1,820 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,503 +$5,573 +371%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,083 −$1,068 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6,480 +$5,520 +85%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5,975 +$5,839 +98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2,794 +$2,908 +104%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,320 +$1,680 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $163 +$137 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$72 +104%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $929 +$2,780 +299%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,594 −$1,594 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4,620 +$1,374 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,200 +$3,800 +317%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4,000 +$5,991 +150%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $396 +$162 +41%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,102 −$5,100 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,032 −$3,032 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,800 +$6,191 +163%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2,147 −$2,147 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $7,458 +$2,532 +34%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4,157 −$3,237 -78%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$13 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $367 +$233 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $593 +$307 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $147 +$153 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 07 $304 +$199 +66%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $55,106 −$33,746 -61%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $145 −$145 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $17,223 −$17,223 -100%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 07 $153 −$153 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $3,559 −$3,506 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12,247 −$12,247 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,308 +$1,692 +129%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,620 −$1,620 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $18,643 −$18,643 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $200 −$193 -96%
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $262 −$105 -40%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,836 −$1,639 -58%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5) Jun 06 $4,947 +$1,984 +40%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $11,232 −$969 -9%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $6,444 +$7,543 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$101,840
other 1% −$7,334
crypto 0% +$383
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $90 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $420 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $34 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $105 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $114 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $428 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $1,542 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $111 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 11¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +15.5% +4.5% 52% 52% -39.0%
≤30d 144 -7.1% -16.0% 41% 41% -31.1%
≤90d 249 -5.9% -14.9% 44% 44% -23.5%
all 351 -3.6% -12.8% 45% 45% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 45% -17.8%
10% -21.1% 44% -25.6%
15% ← realistic here -28.7% 42% -32.8%
20% -35.7% 37% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29,209.99 · official $29,209.99 (match) · 3313 history records