Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:53:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc3f…d02d
crypto · 1549 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$41
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1228 / 297
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions24
Markets (closed)1525 / 1549
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day93.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 24 History 1525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$4
14 days+$6
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? No 91¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 95¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 96¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? No 93¢ 95¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? No 96¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13? No 93¢ 95¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? No 97¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 96¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 13? No 95¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? No 95¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 13? No 92¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13? No 95¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? No 96¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 94¢ 89¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? No 96¢ 90¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13? No 96¢ 87¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Yes 44¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 13? Yes 21¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-48%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? No 93¢ 8¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-91%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$35
weather 19% −$3
other 9% −$9
sports 3% −$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? SELL Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 97¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 97¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? SELL Yes 46¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? SELL Yes 43¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 86¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 98¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 96¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 +1.2% -8.4% 96% 5% -8.4%
≤30d 1424 -1.8% -11.1% 82% 7% -11.1%
≤90d 1525 -1.7% -11.1% 81% 7% -11.1%
all 1525 -1.7% -11.1% 81% 7% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover93.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 7% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 3% -19.6%
15% -27.4% 2% -27.4%
20% -34.5% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.42 · official $50.42 (match) · 3500 history records