Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:56:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc29…383b
sports · 218 markets active 2h ago
1.0score
−$373 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$376 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized−$376
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses98 / 119
Est. fees paid−$1,029
Open positions1
Markets (closed)217 / 218
History coverage42d
Avg bet$227
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 217 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$728
7 days−$229
14 days−$653
30 days−$1,502
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $125 $127 +$2 (+2%)
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $331 $0 −$331 (-100%)
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score No 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Under 41¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 0¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Will Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate end in a draw? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $219 $0 −$219 (-100%)
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest FC? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 Under 17¢ 0¢ $181 $0 −$181 (-100%)
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5) Rio Ave FC 59¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $362 $0 −$362 (-100%)
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Holstein Kiel vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $85 +$215 +254%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $77 −$1 -1%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $312 −$303 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $58 −$57 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $65 −$63 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $53 −$52 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $197 −$93 -47%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $248 −$244 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $391 −$104 -27%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $203 +$23 +11%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $170 +$280 +165%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $304 +$2 +0%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $124 +$126 +101%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $310 −$129 -42%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $313 +$8 +3%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $197 +$189 +96%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $330 −$323 -98%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $17 +$1 +8%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $164 −$160 -97%
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $203 +$197 +97%
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $185 −$181 -98%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $305 +$373 +122%
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $269 −$265 -99%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $247 +$9 +4%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 0.5 Jun 05 $154 −$150 -97%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $153 −$150 -98%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $344 +$328 +95%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $276 −$111 -40%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $304 −$176 -58%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $205 −$23 -11%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5 May 31 $191 +$209 +109%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Score May 31 $152 −$150 -98%
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $289 +$146 +50%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $52 +$40 +78%
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5 May 30 $304 +$76 +25%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $195 −$192 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $8 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $8 −$7 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $15 −$15 -98%
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $160 +$191 +120%
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $198 −$194 -98%
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $194 −$190 -98%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $203 +$6 +3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5 May 30 $183 +$217 +119%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5 May 30 $219 +$157 +72%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5 May 30 $215 −$212 -99%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5 May 29 $107 +$217 +202%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5 May 24 $146 −$31 -21%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 0.5 May 24 $179 −$177 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$55
other 9% −$319
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 SELL Under 51¢ $75 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 33¢ $34 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 25¢ $26 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 25¢ $51 2h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 3¢ $9 2h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $106 2h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $23 2h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $205 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $6 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 9¢ $100 2h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $6 8h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $52 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $65 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 13¢ $53 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $12 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $11 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $10 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $22 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $22 9h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 23¢ $104 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $215 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $33 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $197 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 73¢ $146 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 70¢ $139 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 70¢ $141 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 50¢ $248 46h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 46h
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 77¢ $77 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -7.7% -16.5% 41% 29% -17.5%
≤30d 108 -10.1% -18.6% 43% 36% -15.3%
≤90d 217 -8.0% -16.8% 45% 40% -9.0%
all 217 -8.0% -16.8% 45% 40% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 40% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 38% -17.7%
15% -32.0% 35% -25.6%
20% -38.7% 31% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $127.01 · official $127.51 (match) · 1127 history records