Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc1b…2dec
crypto · 16 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$16 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses6 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$8
14 days+$11
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$9 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$14 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 04 $2 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 30 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 29 $0 +$4 +900%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+48.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -2.6% -11.9% 31% 31% +10.8%
≤30d 16 +64.5% +48.8% 38% 38% +25.6%
≤90d 16 +64.5% +48.8% 38% 38% +25.6%
all 16 +64.5% +48.8% 38% 38% +25.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +48.8% 38% +25.6%
10% +34.6% 38% +13.6%
15% +21.6% 38% +2.6%
20% +9.7% 38% -7.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records