Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc16…40a5
sports · 542 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27,583 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,889 · open +$306
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,628
Realized−$27,889
Unrealized+$306
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses199 / 334
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$3,292
Open positions9
Markets (closed)533 / 542
History coverage69d
Avg bet$479
Trades / day42.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 9 History 533 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,680
7 days−$1,717
14 days−$2,031
30 days−$10,313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $2,785 $3,129 +$344 (+12%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 100¢ $552 $1,078 +$526 (+95%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 49¢ 81¢ $495 $812 +$317 (+64%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $289 $293 +$4 (+1%)
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? Yes 19¢ 10¢ $215 $116 −$99 (-46%)
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? Yes 18¢ 8¢ $220 $102 −$118 (-54%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 55¢ 55¢ $98 $97 −$1 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $430 $1 −$429 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $239 $0 −$239 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UD Las Palmas leading at halftime? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Málaga CF leading at halftime? Jun 12 $112 −$112 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $383 −$383 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 12 $488 −$488 -100%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 12 $645 −$645 -100%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $304 +$188 +62%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $73 +$120 +165%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $323 +$177 +55%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $507 −$507 -100%
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5) Jun 07 $338 −$338 -100%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 07 $652 −$652 -100%
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $816 −$816 -100%
CD Castellón leading at halftime? Jun 06 $327 +$450 +138%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $120 −$120 -100%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 06 $418 +$883 +211%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 06 $314 +$221 +70%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $325 +$328 +101%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 06 $406 +$335 +83%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $313 −$78 -25%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Arnaldi (+2.5) Jun 05 $186 +$125 +67%
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 05 $594 −$58 -10%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5) Jun 05 $280 −$280 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) Jun 05 $344 +$241 +70%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 04 $354 −$354 -100%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 04 $396 +$781 +197%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $549 −$549 -100%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 04 $622 −$622 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $1,907 −$1,907 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $90 −$90 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $1,011 +$700 +69%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $223 +$235 +105%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 04 $355 +$305 +86%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $471 +$735 +156%
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5) Jun 04 $203 −$7 -3%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 04 $1,104 +$1,805 +164%
Set 1 Winner: Berrettini vs Arnaldi Jun 03 $132 +$184 +140%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $993 +$974 +98%
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) Jun 03 $303 −$303 -100%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 03 $177 −$177 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 03 $803 −$803 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $953 −$953 -100%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 03 $240 −$240 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 03 $875 −$875 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bencic Jun 01 $103 −$103 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Rublev Jun 01 $301 −$301 -100%
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5) Jun 01 $506 −$506 -100%
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 01 $613 −$613 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $1,895 −$1,895 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $859 +$1,179 +137%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$18,208
other 23% −$9,075
world 0% −$300
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 55¢ $99 21m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $102 52m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $193 58m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $102 59m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $63 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $20 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 58¢ $101 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $51 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $102 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $101 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $112 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $50 2h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $48 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $92 2h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 38¢ $102 2h
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 47¢ $108 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 47¢ $112 2d
Málaga CF leading at halftime? BUY Yes 36¢ $112 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 47¢ $112 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 47¢ $30 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 2d
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 26¢ $2 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 26¢ $10 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 27¢ $20 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 33¢ $51 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 33¢ $20 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 32¢ $112 5d
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 31¢ $20 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -12.3% -20.7% 39% 39% -29.0%
≤30d 148 -14.4% -22.5% 37% 37% -22.6%
≤90d 533 -11.6% -20.0% 37% 37% -19.5%
all 533 -11.6% -20.0% 37% 37% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 37% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 37% -27.2%
15% -34.7% 37% -34.2%
20% -41.1% 37% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,628.16 · official $5,628.16 (match) · 3500 history records